CCAC Economic Modelling Consultant (for Brazil)

The SLCP Economic Modeling Consultant will support the Ministry of Environment and Climate Change, the CCAC and the Stockholm Environment Institute (SEI) in strengthening the economic component of Brazil’s National Clean Air and Climate Action Plan for the Reduction of Short-Lived Climate Pollutants (Action Plan). Building on the emissions scenario model already developed by the project team, the consultant will provide robust economic analysis to assess the costs, benefits, and broader socioeconomic implications of selected SLCP mitigation measures. This work will support evidence-based policy prioritization and strengthen the technical basis of the Action Plan.

Home Based (with one technical mission to Brasilia)

4 months

The UNEP-convened Climate and Clean Air Coalition (CCAC) is a partnership of governments, intergovernmental organizations, and representatives of the private sector, the environmental community, and other members of civil society.   The CCAC is the only international initiative working on integrated climate and clean air solutions to reduce the rate of near-term warming. It focuses on fast action to reduce emissions of short-lived climate pollutants (SLCPs) including methane, black carbon, HFCs and tropospheric ozone. More information about the CCAC is here: www.ccacoalition.org   As of October 2023, the CCAC Secretariat is also providing secretariat services to the Global Methane Pledge. More information about the Global Methane Pledge is here: www. Globalmethanepledge.org. The United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) hosts the Secretariat at the Economy Division in Paris. The United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) hosts the Secretariat at the Economy Division in Paris. Brazil joined the Climate and Clean Air Coalition in 2023 and the Ministry of Environment and Climate Change (MMA) submitted a request for support in developing a National Action Plan to Reduce Short-Lived Climate Pollutants (Project BR-23-001). The Stockholm Environment Institute (SEI) was selected as the implementing partner to provide this support, which was launched in December 2024. The project aims to develop Brazil’s National Clean Air and Climate Action Plan for the Reduction of Short-Lived Climate Pollutants (Action Plan), which will identify a clear set of actions that can be taken to reduce SLCPs, outlines how these actions can be implemented, including a sub-national scale, and how SLCPs can be tracked over time. In addition, the project aims to promote alignment between the SLCP Plan and other relevant national plans, such as the Climate Plan and 2025 updated Nationally Determined Contribution. The Consultant will work in close collaboration with the project team and build on existing work to: 1. Develop and propose methodology The Consultant shall propose a methodology or set of methodologies for economic valuation and cost-benefit and/or cost-effectiveness assessment. The proposed methodology(ies) will be submitted for technical review and approval by the project team before adoption and should, to the extent possible, align with recognized international and national best practices for quantifying the economic impact of human health burdens, including relevant approaches used by institutions such as the World Health Organization (WHO), OECD, and/or the World Bank, while remaining adapted to the Brazilian context and available data. The methodology(ies) must be explicitly described, justified, and documented, including: - assumptions; - limitations; - data sources; - treatment of uncertainty; - basis for monetary valuation. All quantitative outputs shall be accompanied by a transparent technical note, working files, and reproducible calculations sufficient to permit review and validation by the contracting parties. 2. Quantify economic impacts/benefits of selected mitigation measures Estimate the potential economic magnitude of selected mitigation measures and their expected co-benefits, with a focus on economic impacts related to reductions in emissions of black carbon and precursors of tropospheric ozone. This includes: - Health sector impacts: Quantify, to the extent feasible and supported by available data, impacts and economic implications associated with reductions in mortality, morbidity, hospitalizations, healthcare use, medication expenditures, sick leave, and related factors. - Labor activity impacts: Quantify impacts associated with avoided absenteeism and reduced labor productivity linked to air pollution and climate-related illnesses. - Agriculture impacts: Assess, where feasible, impacts related to productivity gains and/or avoided losses associated with SLCP mitigation. - Quantitative analyses are expected for health and labor sectors. For agriculture, in the absence of relevant data, a qualitative approach may be accepted. 3. Estimate costs related to the implementation of Action Plan’s selected mitigation measures Quantify the implementation costs of selected mitigation measures included in the Action Plan to support cost-benefit analysis. This includes identifying the most relevant cost data for Brazil, including fuel costs; technology costs; capital costs; operation and maintenance costs; stranded asset costs of infrastructure. The Consultant will work with the project team to integrate these cost data into the emissions scenario analysis. 4. Produce policy-relevant outputs Produce a policy-relevant economic assessment suitable for inclusion in the Action Plan and its technical annexes. This assessment should support the identification of cost-effectiveness of different policies and measures under consideration and strengthen the technical basis for policy prioritization. Specific tasks and responsibilities Deliverable 1: - Initial workplan for consultancy on economic modeling. including task sequencing, proposed analytical steps and a delivery calendar. - Methodological presentation (PPT presentation and technical report) detailing the economic modeling approach to be adopted for each of the three focal sectors (health, labor, and agriculture) and data collected (and their respective sources) in support of the modeling. - Initial inventory of data sources, assumptions, valuation parameters, and evidence base to be used, indicating data availability, data limitations, and justification for selected methods. Deliverable 2: - Progress report on implementation of the approved workplan, including minutes from meetings with key stakeholders and key technical decisions taken. - First draft of the economic modeling for the three focal sectors (health, labor, and agriculture), and for key mitigation measures. - Draft technical annex report documenting methodology, assumptions, data sources, formulas, limitations, and preliminary results. - Preliminary costing of selected mitigation measures. - Draft technical report with initial results for inclusion within the Plan. Deliverable 3: - Final report following review of Deliverable 2 by project team and Ministry of Environment and Climate Change and other designated reviewers with feedback incorporated. - Final technical annex suitable for inclusion in or attachment to the National SLCP Action Plan. - Final economic results in a format suitable for policy communication and decision-making

Advanced university degree (Master’s degree or higher) in Economics, Environmental Economics, Public Policy, Health Economics, Agricultural Economics or another closely related field with a demonstrable specialization in economic analysis is required. Candidates with first-level university degree may be considered only if they present at least 4 (four) additional years of highly relevant professional experience directly related to economic modelling, cost-benefit analysis, or public policy economic evaluation. - A minimum of 5 years of demonstrated practical experience in economic/green modelling, economic valuation, cost-benefit analysis, cost-effectiveness analysis, or other forms of economic appraisal relevant to environmental, climate, health, labor, or agricultural policies is required. Technical expertise working with integrated climate-and-clean-air analysis, economic, health, environmental, agriculture, air pollution and/or climate indicators analysis is required. Good knowledge of the national plans, strategies, and policies related to climate change in Brazil is required. Proven ability to manage multiple priorities and deliver high-quality outputs within agreed timelines is required. Experience with the Brazilian public sector, including interactions with ministries, regulatory institutions, or publicly commissioned technical studies is an asset. Demonstrated experience in assessing the economic impacts of climate change and/or air pollution, particularly in relation to public health is desired. Experience related to climate change and/or air pollution impacts on agriculture, environment or other economic sectors is an asset. Experience with short-lived climate pollutants (SLCPs) and related policy frameworks is an asset. Applicants may be requested to provide examples of prior analytical work demonstrating relevant experience in economic modelling, economic valuation, or public policy assessment. Proficiency in relevant quantitative and analytical tools (such as R, STATA, Python, Excel, or equivalent) is highly desirable. Proven ability in articulation with different organizations and sectors (public and private) is desirable.

Fluency in Portuguese and English (written and spoken) is essential.

Not available.

THE UNITED NATIONS DOES NOT CHARGE A FEE AT ANY STAGE OF THE RECRUITMENT PROCESS (APPLICATION, INTERVIEW MEETING, PROCESSING, OR TRAINING). THE UNITED NATIONS DOES NOT CONCERN ITSELF WITH INFORMATION ON APPLICANTS’ BANK ACCOUNTS.